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Crypto market cycles and investor psychology.

Learn the typical cycle and how emotions distort decisions.

Cycle

Most markets move through accumulation, expansion, euphoria, distribution, and contraction. The sequence repeats with different headlines.

How the cycle feels

  • Accumulation. Boring. Low interest. Negative headlines.
  • Expansion. Breakouts. Doubt remains.
  • Euphoria. Confidence spikes. Risk ignored.
  • Contraction. Denial then panic then apathy.

Why crypto amplifies emotion

Crypto trades 24/7 and can move fast. This creates urgency. Without rules, urgency becomes mistakes.

Anti-FOMO rule

If you did not plan the trade before the pump, you do not take it during the pump.

Process over prediction

  1. Define risk per trade or per week.
  2. Journal your decisions.
  3. Limit screen time during volatility.
Warning

Certainty often appears near tops. Doubt often appears near bottoms.

Quick quiz

  1. Name two cycle phases.
  2. What emotion dominates near euphoria?
  3. State one anti-FOMO rule.
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